Alvin KamaraorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Alvin Kamara
Alvin Kamara outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rhamondre Stevenson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Alvin Kamara, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Alvin Kamara has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (19% more than average to RBs); Rhamondre Stevenson faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs). Rhamondre Stevenson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 20.7
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.3 | 9.7 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 10.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 8.6 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB23 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | at DET |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 11.2 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 60% |
| Trade value | — | 17 |