Aaron JonesorZach Charbonnet?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Zach Charbonnet
Zach Charbonnet outscores Aaron Jones in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Aaron Jones comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Zach Charbonnet, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Zach Charbonnet projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Zach Charbonnet faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to RBs), Aaron Jones faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Aaron JonesRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zach CharbonnetRB, SEA, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.4 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 10.8 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 9.6 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB20 |
| Matchup | at DET | vs CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.2 | — |
| Last season per game | 8.7 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 25% | — |
| Trade value | — | 5 |