Alvin KamaraorQuinshon Judkins?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores Alvin Kamara in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Alvin Kamara comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Quinshon Judkins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Quinshon Judkins projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Alvin Kamara has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (19% more than average to RBs); Quinshon Judkins faces the Houston Texans (5% fewer than average to RBs). Quinshon Judkins still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Quinshon Judkins wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.3 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 11.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 9.1 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB22 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs HOU |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 34% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |