Alvin KamaraorBlake Corum?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Blake Corum
Blake Corum outscores Alvin Kamara in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Alvin Kamara comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Blake Corum, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Blake Corum projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Blake Corum faces the Washington Commanders (4% more than average to RBs), Alvin Kamara faces the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Alvin Kamara is the pick at 53%; in Standard leagues, Blake Corum wins 58%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 19.4
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Blake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 9.3 |
| Rank this week | RB27 | RB20 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.1 | 9.7 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 7.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 31% |
| Trade value | — | — |