Blake CorumorBreece Hall?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Breece Hall

Breece Hall outscores Blake Corum in 57% of simulations.

Blake Corum still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Breece Hall is the better bet, not a sure thing. Breece Hall projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Blake Corum has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (4% more than average to RBs); Breece Hall faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). Breece Hall still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Blake Corum
Floor
2.4
Median
8.0
Ceiling
19.4
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
36%
Breece Hall
Floor
3.9
Median
9.6
Ceiling
19.5
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
24%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBlake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETBreece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.711.0
PPR projection10.212.2
Standard projection9.39.7
Rank this weekRB25RB21
Matchupat WASat KC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game9.712.5
Last season per game7.011.9
Snap share, last game31%48%
Trade value—15