Bhayshul TutenorJ.K. Dobbins?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bhayshul Tuten
Bhayshul Tuten outscores J.K. Dobbins in 60% of simulations.
J.K. Dobbins still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Bhayshul Tuten is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bhayshul Tuten projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); J.K. Dobbins faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.1 | 8.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 7.8 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB29 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 11.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 49% |
| Trade value | — | — |