Alvin KamaraorKyle Monangai?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Alvin Kamara
Alvin Kamara outscores Kyle Monangai in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Monangai comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Alvin Kamara, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Monangai projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Alvin Kamara has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to RBs); Kyle Monangai faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Kyle Monangai is the pick at 55%. Kyle Monangai is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 16.3
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 0.6
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Alvin KamaraRB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB26 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | vs TB |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 9.1 | 14.2 |
| Last season per game | 7.7 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 54% |
| Trade value | — | 9 |