Cam SkatteboorKenneth Walker III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores Cam Skattebo in 60% of simulations.
Cam Skattebo still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Kenneth Walker III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenneth Walker III projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Cam Skattebo has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); Kenneth Walker III faces the Las Vegas Raiders (1% fewer than average to RBs). Kenneth Walker III still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.1
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Cam SkatteboRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.7 | 16.5 |
| PPR projection | 15.2 | 17.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 15.2 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB6 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.0 | 24.6 |
| Last season per game | 14.5 | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 73% |
| Trade value | 24 | 49 |