Jeremiyah LoveorKenneth Walker III?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker III outscores Jeremiyah Love in 59% of simulations.
Jeremiyah Love still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Kenneth Walker III is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenneth Walker III projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jeremiyah Love has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Kenneth Walker III faces the Las Vegas Raiders (1% fewer than average to RBs). Kenneth Walker III still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 15.2
- Ceiling
- 28.4
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenneth Walker IIIRB, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 16.5 |
| PPR projection | 16.0 | 17.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 15.2 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | RB6 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 24.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 73% |
| Trade value | 25 | 49 |