Jeremiyah LoveorKyren Williams?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams outscores Jeremiyah Love in 57% of simulations.
Jeremiyah Love still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Kyren Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyren Williams projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Jeremiyah Love has the better matchup against the New York Giants (15% more than average to RBs); Kyren Williams faces the Philadelphia Eagles (3% more than average to RBs). Kyren Williams still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.4
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
- Floor
- 7.9
- Median
- 14.3
- Ceiling
- 23.7
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 4%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 15.5 |
| PPR projection | 16.0 | 16.9 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 14.0 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | RB7 |
| Matchup | at NYG | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 15.8 |
| Last season per game | — | 14.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 71% |
| Trade value | 25 | 40 |