Ashton JeantyorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Ashton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 58% of simulations.
Rhamondre Stevenson still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Ashton Jeanty is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ashton Jeanty projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to RBs); Ashton Jeanty faces the New England Patriots (13% fewer than average to RBs). Ashton Jeanty still wins more often despite that. Ashton Jeanty is listed as questionable. Rhamondre Stevenson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 21.4
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 38%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.6 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 11.1 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | RB17 |
| Matchup | at NE | vs LV |
| Injury | Questionable | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 16.1 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 66% |
| Trade value | 34 | 10 |