Breece HallorRico Dowdle?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Breece Hall
Breece Hall outscores Rico Dowdle in 59% of simulations.
Rico Dowdle still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Breece Hall is the better bet, not a sure thing. Breece Hall projects 1.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Breece Hall faces the Buffalo Bills (11% more than average to RBs), Rico Dowdle faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 10.8
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 10.7 |
| PPR projection | 13.8 | 12.0 |
| Standard projection | 11.0 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | RB14 | RB18 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 7.6 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 47% |
| Trade value | 15 | 3 |