Tony PollardorZach Charbonnet?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Zach Charbonnet in 56% of simulations.
Zach Charbonnet still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Tony Pollard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tony Pollard projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Zach Charbonnet has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 23.4
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Zach CharbonnetRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.3 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 11.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | RB19 |
| Matchup | vs JAX | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.7 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.0 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 57% |
| Trade value | 40 | 2 |