Chase BrownorZach Charbonnet?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chase Brown
Chase Brown outscores Zach Charbonnet in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Zach Charbonnet comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chase Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chase Brown projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Zach Charbonnet has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs); Chase Brown faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (13% fewer than average to RBs). Chase Brown still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chase Brown wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Zach Charbonnet is the pick at 53%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 18.8
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Zach CharbonnetRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.8 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.9 | 11.3 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB19 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.2 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 63% | 57% |
| Trade value | 19 | 2 |