Chase BrownorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chase Brown
Chase Brown outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rhamondre Stevenson comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Chase Brown, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 1.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (16% more than average to RBs); Chase Brown faces the Tennessee Titans (1% more than average to RBs). Chase Brown still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.7 | 12.9 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 14.4 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB15 |
| Matchup | vs TEN | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 11.0 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 69% |
| Trade value | 19 | 18 |