Chuba HubbardorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Chuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Rhamondre Stevenson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Chuba Hubbard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chuba Hubbard projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Rhamondre Stevenson has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (16% more than average to RBs); Chuba Hubbard faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs). Chuba Hubbard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 29%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 20.1
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 11.6 |
| Standard projection | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | RB21 | RB24 |
| Matchup | vs DET | at BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.2 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 52% |
| Trade value | 13 | — |