Chuba HubbardorKyren Williams?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Kyren Williams

Kyren Williams outscores Chuba Hubbard in 57% of simulations.

Chuba Hubbard still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Kyren Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyren Williams projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Kyren Williams faces the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs), Chuba Hubbard faces the New Orleans Saints (13% more than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chuba Hubbard
Floor
5.2
Median
12.1
Ceiling
24.0
Big game (20+):
19%
Dud (under 6):
14%
Kyren Williams
Floor
7.0
Median
13.9
Ceiling
24.0
Big game (20+):
21%
Dud (under 6):
6%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatChuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETKyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection13.815.2
PPR projection15.416.8
Standard projection12.213.6
Rank this weekRB10RB8
Matchupat NOat ARI
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game16.715.7
Last season per game7.414.4
Snap share, last game89%64%
Trade value2938