Chuba HubbardorJavonte Williams?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Javonte Williams

Javonte Williams outscores Chuba Hubbard in 57% of simulations.

Chuba Hubbard still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Javonte Williams projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Chuba Hubbard has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (13% more than average to RBs); Javonte Williams faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to RBs). Javonte Williams still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chuba Hubbard
Floor
5.2
Median
12.1
Ceiling
24.0
Big game (20+):
19%
Dud (under 6):
14%
Javonte Williams
Floor
7.1
Median
14.1
Ceiling
25.8
Big game (20+):
24%
Dud (under 6):
6%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatChuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETJavonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection13.815.2
PPR projection15.416.3
Standard projection12.214.0
Rank this weekRB11RB8
Matchupat NOvs SF
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game16.716.4
Last season per game7.414.1
Snap share, last game89%72%
Trade value2844