Javonte WilliamsorJaylen Warren?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Javonte Williams in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Javonte Williams comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jaylen Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jaylen Warren projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jaylen Warren has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs); Javonte Williams faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 27.5
- Big game (20+):
- 29%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.2 | 16.4 |
| PPR projection | 16.3 | 17.9 |
| Standard projection | 14.0 | 14.9 |
| Rank this week | RB8 | RB7 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.4 | 16.0 |
| Last season per game | 14.1 | 12.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 58% |
| Trade value | 44 | 48 |