Jaylen WarrenorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jaylen Warren
Jaylen Warren outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 60% of simulations.
Rhamondre Stevenson still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Jaylen Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jaylen Warren projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Jaylen Warren faces the Indianapolis Colts (1% fewer than average to RBs), Rhamondre Stevenson faces the Las Vegas Raiders (4% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 20.3
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.5 | 11.0 |
| PPR projection | 13.9 | 12.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 9.7 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | RB17 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.4 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 12.3 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 97% | 66% |
| Trade value | 27 | 14 |