Breece HallorD'Andre Swift?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Breece Hall in 58% of simulations.
Breece Hall still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so D'Andre Swift is the better bet, not a sure thing. D'Andre Swift projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: D'Andre Swift faces the Atlanta Falcons (5% fewer than average to RBs), Breece Hall faces the New England Patriots (11% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 9.6
- Ceiling
- 19.4
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 23%
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.0 | 13.0 |
| PPR projection | 12.3 | 14.3 |
| Standard projection | 9.8 | 11.8 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at NE | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 14.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 13.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 58% |
| Trade value | 19 | 30 |