D'Andre SwiftorJaylen Warren?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Jaylen Warren in 55% of simulations.
Jaylen Warren still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so D'Andre Swift is the better bet, not a sure thing. D'Andre Swift projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. D'Andre Swift has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); Jaylen Warren faces the Indianapolis Colts (1% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 12.5
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 20.3
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jaylen WarrenRB, PIT, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 12.5 |
| PPR projection | 15.3 | 13.9 |
| Standard projection | 12.9 | 11.1 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at GB | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.6 | 12.4 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 35% | 97% |
| Trade value | 32 | 27 |