D'Andre SwiftorTony Pollard?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Tony Pollard in 67% of simulations.
Tony Pollard still comes out ahead in the other 33%, so D'Andre Swift is the better bet, not a sure thing. D'Andre Swift projects 3.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Tony Pollard has the better matchup against the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs); D'Andre Swift faces the Atlanta Falcons (5% fewer than average to RBs). D'Andre Swift still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 11.6
- Ceiling
- 22.5
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 16%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.0 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 14.3 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 11.8 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | RB13 | RB17 |
| Matchup | at ATL | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.8 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 13.2 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 48% |
| Trade value | 30 | — |