Javonte WilliamsorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Javonte Williams
Javonte Williams outscores Tony Pollard in 62% of simulations.
Tony Pollard still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Javonte Williams projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Javonte Williams has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.2 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 16.3 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 14.0 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | RB8 | RB12 |
| Matchup | vs SF | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.4 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 14.1 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 82% |
| Trade value | 44 | 39 |