Kyren WilliamsorTony Pollard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kyren Williams
Kyren Williams outscores Tony Pollard in 60% of simulations.
Tony Pollard still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Kyren Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kyren Williams projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Kyren Williams has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (9% more than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (21% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 7.0
- Median
- 13.9
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 23.6
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyren WilliamsRB, LAR, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.2 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 16.8 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 13.6 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | RB9 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at ARI | vs JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.7 | 13.7 |
| Last season per game | 14.4 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 82% |
| Trade value | 37 | 39 |