Breece HallorJavonte Williams?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Javonte Williams
Javonte Williams outscores Breece Hall in 63% of simulations.
Breece Hall still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Javonte Williams is the better bet, not a sure thing. Javonte Williams projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Breece Hall has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (11% more than average to RBs); Javonte Williams faces the San Francisco 49ers (2% fewer than average to RBs). Javonte Williams still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.5
- Median
- 10.8
- Ceiling
- 21.9
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
- Floor
- 7.1
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 25.8
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Javonte WilliamsRB, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.4 | 15.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.8 | 16.3 |
| Standard projection | 11.0 | 14.0 |
| Rank this week | RB14 | RB8 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | vs SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 16.4 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 14.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 72% |
| Trade value | 15 | 44 |