Chase BrownorChuba Hubbard?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard outscores Chase Brown in 60% of simulations.
Chase Brown still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Chuba Hubbard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chuba Hubbard projects 3.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Chuba Hubbard has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (13% more than average to RBs); Chase Brown faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (13% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Chuba Hubbard wins 65%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.8 | 13.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.9 | 15.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 12.2 |
| Rank this week | RB18 | RB11 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.2 | 16.7 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 7.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 63% | 89% |
| Trade value | 18 | 28 |