Breece HallorKyle Monangai?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Breece Hall
Breece Hall outscores Kyle Monangai in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Monangai comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Breece Hall, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Monangai projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Kyle Monangai has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs); Breece Hall faces the Cleveland Browns (8% fewer than average to RBs). Breece Hall still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 20.0
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 22%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 10.1
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.3 | 11.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.6 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 11.2 |
| Rank this week | RB19 | RB16 |
| Matchup | vs CLE | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 14.2 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 54% |
| Trade value | 18 | 11 |