Chase BrownorKyle Monangai?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chase Brown
Chase Brown outscores Kyle Monangai in 60% of simulations.
Kyle Monangai still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Chase Brown is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chase Brown projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Chase Brown has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (1% more than average to RBs); Kyle Monangai faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chase Brown wins 66%; in Standard leagues, Chase Brown wins 54%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.7
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.7 | 10.1 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 10.6 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 9.6 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB20 |
| Matchup | vs TEN | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 14.2 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 54% |
| Trade value | 13 | 7 |