Bhayshul TutenorQuinshon Judkins?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Bhayshul Tuten

Bhayshul Tuten outscores Quinshon Judkins in 56% of simulations.

Quinshon Judkins still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Bhayshul Tuten is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bhayshul Tuten projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (19% more than average to RBs); Quinshon Judkins faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bhayshul Tuten
Floor
3.2
Median
9.1
Ceiling
18.6
Big game (20+):
8%
Dud (under 6):
29%
Quinshon Judkins
Floor
3.3
Median
7.9
Ceiling
15.6
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
33%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ETQuinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.19.0
PPR projection10.810.1
Standard projection9.57.9
Rank this weekRB25RB28
Matchupat CINvs PIT
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game12.87.4
Last season per game5.611.2
Snap share, last game48%51%
Trade value—2