Chuba HubbardorDavid Montgomery?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard outscores David Montgomery in 72% of simulations.
David Montgomery still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Chuba Hubbard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chuba Hubbard projects 5.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Chuba Hubbard has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (13% more than average to RBs); David Montgomery faces the Cleveland Browns (average to RBs). David Montgomery is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.2
- Median
- 12.1
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 14%
- Floor
- 0.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.8 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 15.4 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 12.2 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB32 |
| Matchup | at NO | at CLE |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 16.7 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 89% | 14% |
| Trade value | 28 | — |