Bijan RobinsonorChuba Hubbard?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Bijan Robinson

Bijan Robinson outscores Chuba Hubbard in 61% of simulations.

Chuba Hubbard still comes out ahead in the other 39%, so Bijan Robinson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bijan Robinson projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Chuba Hubbard has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (13% more than average to RBs); Bijan Robinson faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs). Bijan Robinson still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bijan Robinson
Floor
6.7
Median
15.3
Ceiling
28.5
Big game (20+):
30%
Dud (under 6):
7%
Chuba Hubbard
Floor
5.2
Median
12.1
Ceiling
24.0
Big game (20+):
19%
Dud (under 6):
14%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatBijan RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETChuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection16.613.8
PPR projection18.315.4
Standard projection14.812.2
Rank this weekRB6RB10
Matchupvs KCat NO
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game18.316.7
Last season per game19.57.4
Snap share, last game82%89%
Trade value6428