Bijan RobinsonorJahmyr Gibbs?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs
Jahmyr Gibbs outscores Bijan Robinson in 55% of simulations.
Bijan Robinson still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Jahmyr Gibbs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jahmyr Gibbs projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Jahmyr Gibbs faces the New England Patriots (15% fewer than average to RBs), Bijan Robinson faces the Kansas City Chiefs (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.7
- Median
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 28.5
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
- Floor
- 7.3
- Median
- 17.4
- Ceiling
- 34.4
- Big game (20+):
- 41%
- Dud (under 6):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bijan RobinsonRB, ATL, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jahmyr GibbsRB, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 16.6 | 19.3 |
| PPR projection | 18.3 | 21.1 |
| Standard projection | 14.8 | 17.5 |
| Rank this week | RB5 | RB2 |
| Matchup | vs KC | vs NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.3 | 24.0 |
| Last season per game | 19.5 | 19.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 82% | 68% |
| Trade value | 65 | 100 |