Braelon AllenorTony Pollard?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Braelon Allen in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Braelon Allen comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Tony Pollard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tony Pollard projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Braelon Allen has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (17% more than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Cleveland Browns (11% fewer than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.6 |
| Rank this week | RB28 | RB24 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | vs CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | — |