Ashton JeantyorKyle Monangai?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ashton Jeanty
Ashton Jeanty outscores Kyle Monangai in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Monangai comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Ashton Jeanty, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ashton Jeanty projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Kyle Monangai has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (11% more than average to RBs); Ashton Jeanty faces the New England Patriots (13% fewer than average to RBs). Ashton Jeanty still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 24.2
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 10.1
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ashton JeantyRB, LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle MonangaiRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.9 | 11.8 |
| PPR projection | 14.7 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 11.2 |
| Rank this week | RB10 | RB14 |
| Matchup | at NE | at GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 16.1 | 14.2 |
| Last season per game | 12.8 | 8.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 67% | 54% |
| Trade value | 34 | 11 |