Bhayshul TutenorKenny Gainwell?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bhayshul Tuten
Bhayshul Tuten outscores Kenny Gainwell in 57% of simulations.
Kenny Gainwell still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Bhayshul Tuten is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bhayshul Tuten projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Bhayshul Tuten has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (20% more than average to RBs); Kenny Gainwell faces the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Bhayshul Tuten wins 51%; in Standard leagues, Bhayshul Tuten wins 65%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.3 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB34 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.8 | 2.4 |
| Last season per game | 5.6 | 10.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |