Omarion HamptonorSaquon Barkley?

Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Omarion Hampton

Omarion Hampton outscores Saquon Barkley in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Saquon Barkley comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Omarion Hampton, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Omarion Hampton projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Saquon Barkley has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (13% fewer than average to RBs); Omarion Hampton faces the Seattle Seahawks (22% fewer than average to RBs). Omarion Hampton still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Omarion Hampton
Floor
4.0
Median
9.1
Ceiling
17.6
Big game (20+):
5%
Dud (under 6):
24%
Saquon Barkley
Floor
3.8
Median
8.5
Ceiling
16.2
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
28%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatOmarion HamptonRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ETSaquon BarkleyRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.29.4
PPR projection11.210.2
Standard projection9.38.6
Rank this weekRB24RB28
Matchupat SEAvs LAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.16.5
Last season per game13.313.4
Snap share, last game42%72%
Trade value187