Saquon BarkleyorTravis Etienne?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Travis Etienne
Travis Etienne outscores Saquon Barkley in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Saquon Barkley comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Travis Etienne, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Saquon Barkley projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Travis Etienne faces the Atlanta Falcons (12% fewer than average to RBs), Saquon Barkley faces the Los Angeles Rams (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 10.1
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Saquon BarkleyRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis EtienneRB, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.1 | 11.0 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 10.2 | 9.8 |
| Rank this week | RB19 | RB20 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 13.4 | 13.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 38% |
| Trade value | 18 | 17 |