Breece HallorSaquon Barkley?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Breece Hall
Breece Hall outscores Saquon Barkley in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Saquon Barkley comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Breece Hall, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Breece Hall projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Breece Hall has the better matchup against the Chicago Bears (3% fewer than average to RBs); Saquon Barkley faces the Los Angeles Rams (13% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.1
- Ceiling
- 20.5
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Breece HallRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Saquon BarkleyRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.6 | 11.1 |
| PPR projection | 13.0 | 12.0 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 10.2 |
| Rank this week | RB16 | RB19 |
| Matchup | at CHI | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.9 | 13.4 |
| Snap share, last game | 48% | 72% |
| Trade value | 17 | 18 |