David MontgomeryorJeremiyah Love?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jeremiyah Love
Jeremiyah Love outscores David Montgomery in 57% of simulations.
David Montgomery still comes out ahead in the other 43%, so Jeremiyah Love is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jeremiyah Love projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Jeremiyah Love faces the Detroit Lions (7% fewer than average to RBs), David Montgomery faces the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.4
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jeremiyah LoveRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.8 | 11.6 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| Rank this week | RB22 | RB19 |
| Matchup | at TEN | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.2 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.1 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 45% |
| Trade value | — | 13 |