RJ HarveyorTreVeyon Henderson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean RJ Harvey
RJ Harvey outscores TreVeyon Henderson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: TreVeyon Henderson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean RJ Harvey, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. RJ Harvey projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. TreVeyon Henderson has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (4% more than average to RBs); RJ Harvey faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to RBs). RJ Harvey still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 18.4
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | RJ HarveyRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 p.m. ET | TreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.9 | 8.9 |
| Rank this week | RB20 | RB21 |
| Matchup | at LAC | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.4 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 10.8 | 11.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 37% |
| Trade value | 11 | 4 |