Kenny GainwellorTreVeyon Henderson?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean TreVeyon Henderson
TreVeyon Henderson outscores Kenny Gainwell in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenny Gainwell comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean TreVeyon Henderson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. TreVeyon Henderson projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: TreVeyon Henderson faces the Las Vegas Raiders (4% more than average to RBs), Kenny Gainwell faces the Dallas Cowboys (11% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, TreVeyon Henderson wins 60%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET | TreVeyon HendersonRB, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.7 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 8.9 |
| Rank this week | RB25 | RB21 |
| Matchup | at DAL | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.3 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 10.9 | 11.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |