MarShawn LloydorRJ Harvey?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores RJ Harvey in 56% of simulations.
RJ Harvey still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so MarShawn Lloyd is the better bet, not a sure thing. MarShawn Lloyd projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); RJ Harvey faces the Seattle Seahawks (15% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | RJ HarveyRB, DEN, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 9.9 |
| Standard projection | 8.1 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | RB18 | RB22 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 37% |
| Trade value | — | 5 |