MarShawn LloydorQuinshon Judkins?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Quinshon Judkins
Quinshon Judkins outscores MarShawn Lloyd in 56% of simulations.
MarShawn Lloyd still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Quinshon Judkins is the better bet, not a sure thing. Quinshon Judkins projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); Quinshon Judkins faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs). Quinshon Judkins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.4
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Quinshon JudkinsRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.1 | 8.9 |
| Rank this week | RB18 | RB15 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 9.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 11.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 53% |
| Trade value | — | 14 |