Jacory Croskey-MerrittorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jacory Croskey-Merritt comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean MarShawn Lloyd, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. MarShawn Lloyd projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, MarShawn Lloyd wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB19 | RB18 |
| Matchup | at SF | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.5 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 35% | 44% |
| Trade value | — | — |