J.K. DobbinsorTony Pollard?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores J.K. Dobbins in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: J.K. Dobbins comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Tony Pollard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tony Pollard projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Tony Pollard faces the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs), J.K. Dobbins faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 13.1
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | J.K. DobbinsRB, DEN, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.6 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | RB29 | RB27 |
| Matchup | at SF | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.3 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 53% |
| Trade value | — | — |