MarShawn LloydorTony Pollard?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores MarShawn Lloyd in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: MarShawn Lloyd comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Tony Pollard, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 9.2 half-PPR points in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (17% more than average to RBs); Tony Pollard faces the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs). Tony Pollard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 10.4 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 8.1 | 8.4 |
| Rank this week | RB18 | RB17 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 48% |
| Trade value | — | 4 |