Bhayshul TutenorEmanuel Wilson?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Bhayshul Tuten

Bhayshul Tuten outscores Emanuel Wilson in 58% of simulations.

Emanuel Wilson still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Bhayshul Tuten is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bhayshul Tuten projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Emanuel Wilson has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (7% fewer than average to RBs); Bhayshul Tuten faces the Houston Texans (15% fewer than average to RBs). Bhayshul Tuten still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Bhayshul Tuten
Floor
2.7
Median
7.3
Ceiling
14.5
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
39%
Emanuel Wilson
Floor
0.7
Median
5.3
Ceiling
18.7
Big game (20+):
9%
Dud (under 6):
54%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBhayshul TutenRB, JAX, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ETEmanuel WilsonRB, SEA, Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.07.8
PPR projection8.68.3
Standard projection7.47.3
Rank this weekRB23RB25
Matchupvs HOUat DEN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game11.89.7
Last season per game5.65.1
Snap share, last game68%59%
Trade value3—