Jacory Croskey-MerrittorRachaad White?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rachaad White
Rachaad White outscores Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 55% of simulations.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Rachaad White is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rachaad White projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Rachaad White faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs), Jacory Croskey-Merritt faces the Indianapolis Colts (3% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Rachaad White wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 41%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET | Rachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 8.0 | 9.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | RB32 | RB31 |
| Matchup | vs IND | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 7.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 57% | 43% |
| Trade value | — | — |