Audric EstiméorJacory Croskey-Merritt?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Audric Estimé
Audric Estimé outscores Jacory Croskey-Merritt in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jacory Croskey-Merritt comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Audric Estimé, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Jacory Croskey-Merritt projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has the better matchup against the San Francisco 49ers (5% more than average to RBs); Audric Estimé faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs). Audric Estimé still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 39%
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB, WAS, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.6 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 8.2 |
| Rank this week | RB24 | RB21 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at SF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 8.0 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 35% |
| Trade value | — | — |